feat(outbox): every evaluated approach becomes something an expert can judge

A run commissioned to evaluate three approaches wrote ONE proposal artefact, so
only the approach it selected could ever receive a verdict. The other two were
evaluated, reported in the settlement, and then taught the learning loop nothing.

The defect class is a key collapse, and it had two halves — fixing either alone
leaves it intact:

* the WRITER wrote one pair per run, so the non-selected approaches never existed
  on disk;
* the READER (hitl._read_outbox_proposals) joins proposal to outcome on the
  run_id FIELD read from file CONTENT, never the filename. Three files sharing
  one run_id collapse onto one dict key, last write wins — so widening only the
  filename would have produced three artefacts and still one pending row. This is
  the S3.2 collision class: two rows under one key silently become one.

Artefacts are now keyed {run_id}-{approach_id}-*.json AND carry approach_id in the
payload; the join key is (run_id, approach_id). Two properties make them genuinely
judgeable rather than merely present:

* verdict_id is minted per approach (verdicts.verdict_key, the S3.2 content hash)
  — reusing the run's single id would let one delivered verdict clear all three
  from the queue;
* provenance.validator_decision follows ITS OWN approach — the run's stamp would
  report a rejected candidate as validated, and nothing downstream could correct it.

verdicts.verdict_key is public so a run can stamp the key a verdict WILL arrive
under without capturing a decision nobody has made; it delegates to _mint_id
rather than restating the hash (the (p) rule: one keying rule, one copy).

The per-approach set REPLACES the run-level pair rather than joining it — the
selected approach is already among them, and writing both would count it twice in
hitl pending. The selected one carries the run's final outcome, so the outbox can
never disagree with the RunResult; the others carry the validator's verdict, the
only falsifier that ran on them.

mandate.py is deliberately untouched: hanging a ValidatedProposal off a coverage
row would drag validator — and pulp — into a module kept to pydantic+stdlib for
D7 portability, so _evaluate_mandate returns the evaluated outcomes alongside.

Ran it, not just tested it: a real CLI run wrote six artefacts and hitl pending
listed three rows. It also showed the honest edge — three approaches that produce
an identical candidate share one content-hash key, so one verdict settles all
three. That is correct (they were one candidate), and it is now documented.

Load-bearing MEASURED (tests/test_a5_per_approach_artifacts_loadbearing.py) against
the whole 750-test suite, five mutations all red: detach the per-approach writer ·
drop approach_id from the join key · reuse the run's verdict id · reuse the run's
provenance stamp · widen the filename but not the payload. Control: on a full
detach exactly the 5 new tests fail and 745 pre-existing ones stay green — the
no-mandate path is inert, and writes neither the filename segment nor the field.

Docs: bestille-en-kjoring.md (what the commissioner gets) + ekspert-svar.md (what
the expert's queue looks like, and that "rejected" is the validator's verdict on
the numbers, never a professional judgement of the idea).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VtRd8y1PDPGwkrRXFhubqr
This commit is contained in:
Kjell Tore Guttormsen 2026-08-05 21:12:09 +02:00
commit 455d93d33e
7 changed files with 443 additions and 33 deletions

View file

@ -50,43 +50,59 @@ _REQUIRED_FEATURE_KEYS = {"affected_codes", "measure_type", "claimed_saving_nok"
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class PendingProposal:
"""One outbox proposal still awaiting an expert verdict. ``codes``/``measure`` carry the routing
keys (Step 3); ``verdict_id`` is the id-join key against the inbox."""
keys (Step 3); ``verdict_id`` is the id-join key against the inbox. ``approach_id`` names the
commissioned approach the artefact belongs to (A5), and is ``""`` for an artefact written
without a mandate a run nobody commissioned has no approach to name."""
run_id: str
verdict_id: str
outcome_type: str
measure: str
codes: frozenset[str]
approach_id: str = ""
def _join_key(data: dict[str, Any]) -> tuple[str, str]:
"""The key one artefact is filed under: ``(run_id, approach_id)``, read from file CONTENT.
``run_id`` alone was the key until A5 gave a run several judgeable approaches. Once it does, a
``run_id``-only key collapses every approach of one run onto a single dict entry (last write
wins) and the expert's queue silently reports one candidate where three were evaluated — the
S3.2 key-collision class. An artefact with no ``approach_id`` keys on ``""``, which is exactly
the pre-A5 behaviour for pre-A5 files."""
approach_id = data.get("approach_id")
return str(data["run_id"]), str(approach_id) if isinstance(approach_id, str) else ""
def _read_outbox_proposals(outbox_dir: str) -> list[PendingProposal]:
"""Read the outbox, joining ``{run_id}-proposal.json`` and ``{run_id}-outcome.json`` on the
``run_id`` FIELD read from file content (never the filename). TOLERANT (RAW layer, contrast
``okf.load_ir_projection``'s fail-fast): a missing dir yields ``[]``; unparseable files, and
orphans (a proposal without its outcome or vice-versa), are SKIPPED, never raised a live run
writes the pair non-atomically, so half-written state is realistic."""
"""Read the outbox, joining ``{run_id}[-{approach_id}]-proposal.json`` and its ``-outcome.json``
on the ``run_id``/``approach_id`` FIELDS read from file content (never the filename). TOLERANT
(RAW layer, contrast ``okf.load_ir_projection``'s fail-fast): a missing dir yields ``[]``;
unparseable files, and orphans (a proposal without its outcome or vice-versa), are SKIPPED,
never raised a live run writes the pair non-atomically, so half-written state is realistic."""
directory = Path(outbox_dir)
if not directory.is_dir():
return []
proposals: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {}
proposals: dict[tuple[str, str], dict[str, Any]] = {}
for file in sorted(directory.glob("*-proposal.json")):
data = _load_json_dict(file)
if data is None or "run_id" not in data or not isinstance(data.get("proposal"), dict):
continue
proposals[str(data["run_id"])] = data
proposals[_join_key(data)] = data
outcomes: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {}
outcomes: dict[tuple[str, str], dict[str, Any]] = {}
for file in sorted(directory.glob("*-outcome.json")):
data = _load_json_dict(file)
if data is None or "run_id" not in data:
continue
outcomes[str(data["run_id"])] = data
outcomes[_join_key(data)] = data
result: list[PendingProposal] = []
for run_id in proposals.keys() & outcomes.keys(): # inner join — orphans on either side dropped
proposal = proposals[run_id]["proposal"]
outcome = outcomes[run_id]
for key in proposals.keys() & outcomes.keys(): # inner join — orphans on either side dropped
run_id, approach_id = key
proposal = proposals[key]["proposal"]
outcome = outcomes[key]
verdict_id = outcome.get("verdict_id")
outcome_type = outcome.get("outcome_type")
if not isinstance(verdict_id, str) or not isinstance(outcome_type, str):
@ -102,6 +118,7 @@ def _read_outbox_proposals(outbox_dir: str) -> list[PendingProposal]:
outcome_type=outcome_type,
measure=str(proposal.get("measure", "")),
codes=codes,
approach_id=approach_id,
)
)
return result
@ -141,10 +158,11 @@ def _inbox_verdict_ids(verdict_dir: str) -> set[str]:
def pending(outbox_dir: str, verdict_dir: str) -> list[PendingProposal]:
"""The pending registry: outbox proposals whose ``verdict_id`` is NOT yet in the inbox id-set,
sorted deterministically by ``(run_id, verdict_id)``."""
sorted deterministically by ``(run_id, approach_id, verdict_id)`` one row per evaluated
approach, since each is judged on its own key."""
judged = _inbox_verdict_ids(verdict_dir)
unjudged = [p for p in _read_outbox_proposals(outbox_dir) if p.verdict_id not in judged]
return sorted(unjudged, key=lambda p: (p.run_id, p.verdict_id))
return sorted(unjudged, key=lambda p: (p.run_id, p.approach_id, p.verdict_id))
# --- Routing config: self-contained dimension→expert table (fail-fast) ----------------------------
@ -286,7 +304,11 @@ def main(argv: list[str] | None = None) -> int:
if args.command == "pending":
for proposal in pending(args.outbox_dir, args.verdict_dir):
print(f"{proposal.run_id} {proposal.verdict_id} {proposal.outcome_type}")
# The approach is appended only when there is one: an artefact written without a
# mandate has no approach, and printing an empty column would suggest a missing value
# rather than a run nobody commissioned by approach.
approach = f" [{proposal.approach_id}]" if proposal.approach_id else ""
print(f"{proposal.run_id} {proposal.verdict_id} {proposal.outcome_type}{approach}")
return 0
try:

View file

@ -53,19 +53,34 @@ def write_outbox(
provenance: ProvenanceStamp,
checker_verdict: str | None,
verdict_id: str,
approach_id: str | None = None,
) -> tuple[Path, Path]:
"""Write ``{run_id}-proposal.json`` + ``{run_id}-outcome.json`` into ``outbox_dir`` (created if
needed) and return their paths. The proposal file carries the candidate IR + provenance; the
outcome file branches on the outcome type a ``ValidatedProposal`` writes its percentiles, a
``Rejection`` writes its reason (and NO percentiles, mirroring the type distinction)."""
``Rejection`` writes its reason (and NO percentiles, mirroring the type distinction).
``approach_id`` (A5) names WHICH commissioned approach an artefact belongs to, so a run that
evaluated several can have each of them judged rather than only the one it selected. It widens
the file key to ``{run_id}-{approach_id}-*.json`` AND is written into the payload, because the
reader (``hitl._read_outbox_proposals``) joins proposal to outcome on file CONTENT, never on the
filename a widened filename alone would still collapse three approaches onto one ``run_id``
key. When it is ``None`` the key and the payload are exactly as before: the field is OMITTED
rather than written as null, since these artefacts are byte-deterministic by contract and a run
nobody commissioned has no approach to name."""
directory = Path(outbox_dir)
directory.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
proposal_path = directory / f"{run_id}-proposal.json"
stem = run_id if approach_id is None else f"{run_id}-{approach_id}"
keys: dict[str, Any] = {"run_id": run_id}
if approach_id is not None:
keys["approach_id"] = approach_id
proposal_path = directory / f"{stem}-proposal.json"
proposal_path.write_text(
_dump(
{
"run_id": run_id,
**keys,
"proposal": outcome.proposal.model_dump(),
"provenance": provenance.model_dump(),
}
@ -75,7 +90,7 @@ def write_outbox(
if isinstance(outcome, ValidatedProposal):
outcome_payload: dict[str, Any] = {
"run_id": run_id,
**keys,
"outcome_type": "validated",
"p10": outcome.p10,
"p50": outcome.p50,
@ -86,13 +101,13 @@ def write_outbox(
}
else:
outcome_payload = {
"run_id": run_id,
**keys,
"outcome_type": "rejected",
"reason": outcome.reason,
"checker_verdict": checker_verdict,
"verdict_id": verdict_id,
}
outcome_path = directory / f"{run_id}-outcome.json"
outcome_path = directory / f"{stem}-outcome.json"
outcome_path.write_text(_dump(outcome_payload), encoding="utf-8")
return proposal_path, outcome_path

View file

@ -92,6 +92,7 @@ from portfolio_optimiser.verdicts import (
capture_verdict,
load_verdicts_from_dir,
similarity,
verdict_key,
)
from portfolio_optimiser.value_report import (
build_value_report,
@ -263,10 +264,23 @@ def _select_outcome(
async def _evaluate_mandate(
mandate: Mandate,
evaluate: Callable[[Approach | None], Awaitable[ValidatedProposal | Rejection]],
) -> tuple[ValidatedProposal | Rejection, tuple[ApproachOutcome, ...]]:
) -> tuple[
ValidatedProposal | Rejection,
tuple[ApproachOutcome, ...],
tuple[tuple[str, ValidatedProposal | Rejection], ...],
]:
"""Evaluate every commissioned approach, then the run's own proposal when allowed, and report
what became of each (Trekk A3/A4).
Returns the selected outcome, the coverage report, and third every EVALUATED approach's own
outcome paired with its id (A5), which is what lets each of them be written as a judgeable
outbox artefact. It is returned alongside rather than folded into ``ApproachOutcome`` on
purpose: ``mandate.py`` imports only ``pydantic`` + stdlib to stay D7-portable (guarded by
``test_okf_is_maf_free``), and hanging a ``ValidatedProposal`` off a coverage row would drag
``validator`` and with it ``pulp`` into that deliberately thin module. Rows the run never
reached are absent here by construction: a ``not_evaluated`` approach has no proposal, so there
is nothing to write and nothing to judge.
Budget exhaustion mid-list is REPORTED, not swallowed: the approaches that were never reached
become ``not_evaluated`` rows. But if the very first approach exhausts the budget there is
nothing honest to return, so ``BudgetExceeded`` propagates exactly as it did before a run
@ -278,6 +292,7 @@ async def _evaluate_mandate(
rows: list[ApproachOutcome] = []
produced: list[tuple[int, ValidatedProposal | Rejection]] = []
evaluated: list[tuple[str, ValidatedProposal | Rejection]] = []
for index, (row_id, label, approach) in enumerate(plan):
try:
outcome = await evaluate(approach)
@ -295,9 +310,10 @@ async def _evaluate_mandate(
)
break
produced.append((index, outcome))
evaluated.append((row_id, outcome))
rows.append(_coverage_row(row_id, label, outcome))
return _select_outcome(produced), tuple(rows)
return _select_outcome(produced), tuple(rows), tuple(evaluated)
def _authored_texts(result: Any, name: str) -> list[str]:
@ -619,10 +635,11 @@ async def run_project(
)
coverage: tuple[ApproachOutcome, ...] = ()
evaluated: tuple[tuple[str, ValidatedProposal | Rejection], ...] = ()
if mandate is None:
validator_outcome = await _evaluate(None)
else:
validator_outcome, coverage = await _evaluate_mandate(mandate, _evaluate)
validator_outcome, coverage, evaluated = await _evaluate_mandate(mandate, _evaluate)
proposal = validator_outcome.proposal
# 6. First-class provenance stamp (authoritative; independent of MAF Annotation).
@ -693,14 +710,50 @@ async def run_project(
# is guaranteed non-None by the fail-fast guard at the top.
if outbox_dir is not None:
assert run_id is not None # narrowed by the step-0 guard; keeps the type checker honest
outbox.write_outbox(
outbox_dir,
run_id,
outcome=outcome,
provenance=stamp,
checker_verdict=checker_decision,
verdict_id=verdict.id,
)
if not evaluated:
outbox.write_outbox(
outbox_dir,
run_id,
outcome=outcome,
provenance=stamp,
checker_verdict=checker_decision,
verdict_id=verdict.id,
)
else:
# A5: one judgeable artefact PER evaluated approach. Without this the expert can only
# judge the approach the run happened to select, so every other approach they
# commissioned teaches the learning loop nothing. The per-approach set REPLACES the
# single run-level pair rather than joining it — the selected approach is already among
# these, and writing both would make ``hitl pending`` count it twice.
for approach_id, approach_outcome in evaluated:
# The SELECTED approach carries the run's final outcome, so the outbox can never
# disagree with the ``RunResult``: the checker/dimension overrides above apply to
# that one. The others carry the validator's verdict, which is the only falsifier
# that ran on them.
final = outcome if approach_outcome is validator_outcome else approach_outcome
outbox.write_outbox(
outbox_dir,
run_id,
outcome=final,
# ``validator_decision`` must follow ITS OWN approach — stamping every artefact
# with the selected approach's decision would report a rejected candidate as
# validated. Everything else (model, citations, token usage) is the run's.
provenance=stamp.model_copy(
update={
"validator_decision": (
"validated"
if isinstance(approach_outcome, ValidatedProposal)
else "rejected"
)
}
),
checker_verdict=checker_decision,
# The key an expert verdict on THIS candidate will arrive under (S3.2 content
# hash). Reusing the run's single verdict id would let one delivered verdict
# clear every approach from the pending queue.
verdict_id=verdict_key(_features_of(approach_outcome.proposal)),
approach_id=approach_id,
)
return RunResult(
outcome=outcome,

View file

@ -98,6 +98,18 @@ def _mint_id(features: ProposalFeatures) -> str:
return hashlib.sha256(canonical.encode("utf-8")).hexdigest()[:16]
def verdict_key(features: ProposalFeatures) -> str:
"""The id a verdict on a proposal with these features keys under — the learning-loop key.
Public because a run must be able to stamp an artefact with the key an expert verdict on THAT
candidate will arrive under, WITHOUT capturing a decision nobody has made yet (A5: every
evaluated approach gets its own judgeable artefact, but only one of them is the run's outcome).
One key, one minting rule: this delegates to ``_mint_id`` rather than restating the hash, so a
caller can never drift from the id ``capture_verdict`` actually assigns (the ``(p)`` precedent
a second private copy of a keying rule is the defect, not the convenience)."""
return _mint_id(features)
def capture_verdict(features: ProposalFeatures, decision: str, rationale: str) -> Verdict:
"""Layer-2 out-of-band verdict constructor: mint a stable content-hash id (the
learning-loop key) and build the ``Verdict`` to persist in the store."""