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Author SHA1 Message Date
e6e9d3c74d
fix: correct findings from the pre-publication quality check
Seventeen independent read-only reviews (figures and sources, the diagnosis
tool, the mathematics, simulation numbers, appendix C, references, claims,
language, layout, summary and slides, README and repo, cross-document
consistency), each followed by an independent verifier. Every fix below was
checked against the source or recomputed before it was applied.

Norwegian diagnosis (paper/norge_2025.json, README):
- The prison outflow mixed units: it multiplied "cases handled" (16 000) by
  the share of enforced cases. It now uses enforced cases (KDI annual report
  2025, p. 70: 5 180 in the community = 58 %, so about 3 750 in prison), and
  the queue excludes sentences waiting for electronic monitoring.
- Result changes: prison and police/prosecution tie at utilisation 1,09; the
  tool points to prison on backlog growth. README says the difference is
  smaller than the uncertainty and lists the sensitivity (1,06 to 1,10).
- Police backlog taken directly from POD report 1/2026 fig. 3.2.1 (31 908
  vs 30 295); page references to the courts report corrected (15 and 18).

diagnose.py:
- Norwegian error messages instead of tracebacks for bad input; same
  expansion threshold as sim.py; tie message; honest wording when no
  forecast is given, when the constraint is the first link, and when a
  backlog grows with no link above full utilisation.

Note, summary and slides (PDFs rebuilt: 58, 2 and 16 pages):
- b_sat in (13') lacked the factor 1/T-bar; lowest trust in appendix C is
  0,33, not 0,47; nine numbers rounded or quoted wrongly; one sensitivity
  sentence was wrong for mu_4; the abstract claimed more police effort does
  not reduce crime, which the model contradicts.
- The decommissioning rule is described as the code implements it.
- Three references corrected, one added (Srivastav et al. 2019).
- Core sentence quoted verbatim in README and section 9.
- Layout: duplicate hyperref targets, the overfull box in table 1, three
  figures with colliding labels, one stranded heading.
- Summary and slides no longer say "not tested on Norwegian data"; slide 16
  gives the repository address.

sim.py and paper/data/ are untouched.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.2 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-11-10 15:46:23 +01:00
a167953307
docs(paper): acknowledge Norwegian precedents for chain and legislation proposals
- Forsøksloven (1992, amended 2021) already allows four-year trials in public
  administration, but only for organisation and task allocation and never by
  restricting rights; trials with procedure and sanction forms need their own
  legal basis.
- A general sunset act for regulations was rejected by the Storting in 2001
  (Innst. O. nr. 77 (2000-2001)); the proposal here covers intrusive powers only.
- Riksrevisjonen, Dokument 3:13 (2007-2008), found deadline breaches across
  several links of the chain.
- NOU 2020:11, p. 197, records a minority of the previous court commission
  warning that one oversized link creates bottlenecks.

All four were read in the primary source (Lovdata, stortinget.no,
riksrevisjonen.no, regjeringen.no PDF). Not built: TeX not installed yet.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-11-10 12:08:30 +01:00
0aed121706
fix(paper): correct police elasticity range attributed to Chalfin and McCrary
The note said most estimates lie between -0.1 and -0.5 (citing Chalfin and
McCrary 2017). The review instead gives a best guess of about -0.4 (violent)
and -0.2 (property), with quasi-experimental estimates spanning roughly -0.1
to -2, few of them significant (JEL 55(1), pp. 14 and 37). The conclusion
that the model's -0.83 is at the strong end still holds.

pdf/ is not rebuilt: no TeX installation on this machine.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-11-10 10:28:41 +01:00
85bc99b257
feat: initial commit of concept note v2 and simulation
Concept note "Den dynamiske rettsstaten" version 2: PDFs, LaTeX source,
simulation (sim.py) and figure data. Working documents are kept out of
the repository.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-11-10 10:10:20 +01:00