- README, the note (abstract, introduction, section 10), the two-page
summary and the slides now point to the plugin dynamisk-rettsstat, with
link. The slides get a new slide 16 about it (17 slides in all); the
summary gets a box with both links and stays on two pages.
- New limitation in section 10: in the models with a court queue the
starting point is close to, but not exactly, an equilibrium. Without any
shock crime drifts from 1.000 to 1.018 and the processing time from 3.0
to 4.6 months over 240 months. No numbers, tables or figures change.
- PDFs rebuilt: note 59 pages (was 58), summary 2, slides 17 (was 16).
- sim.py, diagnose.py, forlop.py and paper/data are unchanged.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.2 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Seventeen independent read-only reviews (figures and sources, the diagnosis
tool, the mathematics, simulation numbers, appendix C, references, claims,
language, layout, summary and slides, README and repo, cross-document
consistency), each followed by an independent verifier. Every fix below was
checked against the source or recomputed before it was applied.
Norwegian diagnosis (paper/norge_2025.json, README):
- The prison outflow mixed units: it multiplied "cases handled" (16 000) by
the share of enforced cases. It now uses enforced cases (KDI annual report
2025, p. 70: 5 180 in the community = 58 %, so about 3 750 in prison), and
the queue excludes sentences waiting for electronic monitoring.
- Result changes: prison and police/prosecution tie at utilisation 1,09; the
tool points to prison on backlog growth. README says the difference is
smaller than the uncertainty and lists the sensitivity (1,06 to 1,10).
- Police backlog taken directly from POD report 1/2026 fig. 3.2.1 (31 908
vs 30 295); page references to the courts report corrected (15 and 18).
diagnose.py:
- Norwegian error messages instead of tracebacks for bad input; same
expansion threshold as sim.py; tie message; honest wording when no
forecast is given, when the constraint is the first link, and when a
backlog grows with no link above full utilisation.
Note, summary and slides (PDFs rebuilt: 58, 2 and 16 pages):
- b_sat in (13') lacked the factor 1/T-bar; lowest trust in appendix C is
0,33, not 0,47; nine numbers rounded or quoted wrongly; one sensitivity
sentence was wrong for mu_4; the abstract claimed more police effort does
not reduce crime, which the model contradicts.
- The decommissioning rule is described as the code implements it.
- Three references corrected, one added (Srivastav et al. 2019).
- Core sentence quoted verbatim in README and section 9.
- Layout: duplicate hyperref targets, the overfull box in table 1, three
figures with colliding labels, one stranded heading.
- Summary and slides no longer say "not tested on Norwegian data"; slide 16
gives the repository address.
sim.py and paper/data/ are untouched.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.2 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Forsøksloven (1992, amended 2021) already allows four-year trials in public
administration, but only for organisation and task allocation and never by
restricting rights; trials with procedure and sanction forms need their own
legal basis.
- A general sunset act for regulations was rejected by the Storting in 2001
(Innst. O. nr. 77 (2000-2001)); the proposal here covers intrusive powers only.
- Riksrevisjonen, Dokument 3:13 (2007-2008), found deadline breaches across
several links of the chain.
- NOU 2020:11, p. 197, records a minority of the previous court commission
warning that one oversized link creates bottlenecks.
All four were read in the primary source (Lovdata, stortinget.no,
riksrevisjonen.no, regjeringen.no PDF). Not built: TeX not installed yet.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The note said most estimates lie between -0.1 and -0.5 (citing Chalfin and
McCrary 2017). The review instead gives a best guess of about -0.4 (violent)
and -0.2 (property), with quasi-experimental estimates spanning roughly -0.1
to -2, few of them significant (JEL 55(1), pp. 14 and 37). The conclusion
that the model's -0.83 is at the strong end still holds.
pdf/ is not rebuilt: no TeX installation on this machine.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Concept note "Den dynamiske rettsstaten" version 2: PDFs, LaTeX source,
simulation (sim.py) and figure data. Working documents are kept out of
the repository.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
